Activating Long-Term Unemployed Adults: Mindset First
How to activate long-term unemployed adults: what the research shows, why motivation and skills belong together, and how to sequence a programme.
To activate long-term unemployed adults, a programme has to rebuild motivation and job-search skills together, and in practice the motivation work comes first. A 2014 meta-analysis of 47 evaluated job search interventions found that they raised employment "only when both skill development and motivation enhancement were included". The same study found much smaller gains for people unemployed longer than six months. I coach adults in Germany's publicly funded activation programmes, and in the programme I coach in, mindset comes first and the CV comes later. Below: who the long-term unemployed are, what the evidence says, and how to sequence a programme for them.
Who the long-term unemployed are
Eurostat counts someone as long-term unemployed after 12 months or more without work. The scale differs by country:
| Where | Figure | Source |
|---|---|---|
| EU | Long-term unemployment rate of 1.9% of the labour force in 2025 | Eurostat (opens in a new tab) |
| EU | 16.5% of unemployed people out of work for 24 months or more | Eurostat |
| Germany | 1,070,000 long-term unemployed in September 2026, 35.7% of all unemployed | Federal Employment Agency (opens in a new tab) |
| Lithuania | 26,700 registered long-term unemployed on 1 September 2026, 18.3% of registered unemployed | Užimtumo tarnyba (opens in a new tab) |
The label covers very different situations: a profession that does not transfer to a new country, years at home caring for family, a closed plant at 55, no first job yet. Lithuania records the barriers directly. Of the 21,100 people Užimtumo tarnyba registered as preparing for the labour market on 1 September 2026, 61.3% lack social skills and/or motivation to work, according to its August 2026 labour market report. One person can have several barriers.
The EU Council Recommendation on long-term unemployment (opens in a new tab) describes the risk: "close to a fifth of the long-term unemployed persons in the Union become discouraged and fall into inactivity" every year after unsuccessful job searches. Because the barriers "are diverse and often cumulate", it calls for "a tailor-made, individualised approach and coordinated service provision".
What the research says about activating long-term unemployed adults
Three bodies of evidence point the same way.
Job search help works, but less for this group. Songqi Liu, Jason Huang and Mo Wang pooled 47 experimental and quasi-experimental studies in Psychological Bulletin (2014). Overall, participants had 2.67 times the odds of finding work compared with control groups. For short-term unemployed participants the figure was 3.54. For long-term unemployed participants it was 1.72. The authors link the gap to lower self-esteem, fewer social contacts and habits that settle in during long unemployment. They suggest adding "an intervention that gradually rehabilitates their self-esteem and healthy lifestyle" and, where needed, occupational skills training.
Motivation and skills only work together. The same study names the components that raised results: teaching job search skills, improving self-presentation, boosting self-efficacy, encouraging proactivity, promoting goal setting and enlisting social support. Its central finding: interventions promoted employment "only when both skill development and motivation enhancement were included".
The payoff comes later, and it is larger for this group. David Card, Jochen Kluve and Andrea Weber reviewed over 200 evaluations of active labour market programmes (Journal of the European Economic Association, 2018 (opens in a new tab)). Average impacts sat close to zero in the short run and turned more positive two to three years after the programme. Impacts were larger for participants who entered from long-term unemployment. Germany's Institute for Employment Research found the same for its activation measures: larger effects for long-term unemployed people (opens in a new tab) than for short-term unemployed people, and the strongest effects where participants had direct contact with employers.
Put together: a CV workshop on its own fits a recently unemployed accountant. A person out of work for two years needs the motivation work, the skills work and an employer in sight, and a funder needs to judge the result over years.
Why mindset comes first in the sequence
The research says "both". The order is a practical decision, and I recommend mindset first for three reasons I see in groups.
A CV carries the writer's beliefs. A person who thinks "nobody here will hire me at my age" writes a CV that sounds like it, and applies for jobs below what they can do.
Goals need a person who believes they can reach them. Setting a job goal with dates works once someone has named their strengths in an employer's words. Before that, the goal is a guess.
Interview practice works on confidence that already exists. Rehearsing answers helps a person who believes they deserve the job. For someone who doubts it, the rehearsal turns into an exam they expect to fail.
In the programme I coach in, the sessions on thoughts and beliefs, the comfort zone, strengths and goals run before the sessions on job search, CVs and interviews. We cover limiting beliefs, the difference between "I have to" and "I want to", growth and fixed mindset, and what people need from work. The method behind the beliefs work is in my guide to limiting beliefs.
How to sequence an activation programme
For a ministry, municipality or ESF+ team, a sequence that follows the evidence looks like this:
- Assess each person. The Council Recommendation asks for an individual assessment and a job-integration agreement with "explicit goals, timelines and the obligations" by 18 months of unemployment at the latest. Start with what the person wants and what stands in the way.
- Rebuild belief in the plan. Beliefs about work, the comfort zone, past achievements, strengths. This is the self-efficacy and proactivity work that Liu and colleagues found effective.
- Set goals with dates. One job goal, a short-term and a long-term plan. Goal setting is one of the named effective components.
- Explain the system. Contracts, pay, taxes, workers' rights, how hiring works in the country. Once people see the rules, the market stops feeling arbitrary.
- Build the skills. Job search, self-presentation, CV, interviews. This is where the motivation work pays off.
- Bring employers in. Visits, trial days, employer speakers or in-company phases. The German results favour measures with direct employer contact.
- Keep the group, add one-to-one time. Groups give social support, also a named effective component. One-to-one sessions handle what a person will not raise in front of others.
- Hand over the next step. Before the course ends, agree the next step with the person who follows up: a caseworker, a case manager or a mentor.
German law already writes the longer path into its rules. § 45 SGB III (opens in a new tab) tells employment agencies to fund measures whose content and duration reflect the greater need for stabilisation and support of people whose unemployment has lasted long. I explain how that funding works in AVGS coaching explained, and what a full curriculum covers in employability training.
Language matters in the room
Long-term unemployment says how long someone has been without work. It says nothing about their character. In my groups I meet people who lost direction, people with low confidence after many rejections and people starting over in a new country. A trainer who treats the group as unwilling loses it in the first session. Write the brief, the materials and the invitation letter in the same respectful terms.
Where this comes from
Since September 2022 I have worked as a career coach for International Motivation Training Deutschland (IMT), an approved provider, in programmes funded by the Jobcenter and the Arbeitsagentur (AVGS, § 45 SGB III). Across Germany's career and integration programmes I have coached more than 2,000 adults, in groups and one to one, in German and Russian. When groups finish, the feedback I hear most is about individual attention, a clearer plan for the next step, and not feeling alone in it. More in what 2,000 adults starting over in Germany taught me.
If you plan a measure for long-term unemployed adults, see how I design and deliver employability programmes, or book a call.
Questions and answers
Who counts as long-term unemployed?
Eurostat counts people who have been unemployed for 12 months or more. Germany uses the same line in § 18 SGB III: unemployed for a year or longer. Lithuania's Employment Law lists long-term unemployed people unemployed for more than 12 months, counted from registration with Užimtumo tarnyba, among the target groups of municipal employment programmes. Some research, such as the 2014 meta-analysis by Liu, Huang and Wang, uses six months as the cutoff.
Why do standard job-search courses help long-term unemployed people less?
In the Liu, Huang and Wang meta-analysis of 47 evaluated interventions, the odds of finding work rose 3.54 times for short-term unemployed participants and 1.72 times for long-term unemployed participants. The authors point to lower self-esteem, fewer social contacts and skills that have aged, and suggest adding work on self-esteem and occupational skills.
What does mindset first mean in an employability programme?
The group works on beliefs about work, the comfort zone, strengths and concrete goals before it writes CVs and practises interviews. The research supports doing both: Liu, Huang and Wang found that job search interventions worked only when they combined skill development with motivation enhancement. The order is a practical choice, so the CV goes to a job the person believes they can get.
How long before an activation programme shows results?
Longer than one funding report. Card, Kluve and Weber reviewed over 200 studies and found average impacts close to zero in the short run, turning more positive two to three years after the programme ended. They also found larger impacts for participants who entered from long-term unemployment.
Can you deliver a programme like this for our municipality or employment service?
Yes. I design and deliver employability programmes for long-term unemployed adults, people with low confidence and people starting over, in groups and one to one, in Lithuanian, English, German and Russian. Start with a call about your target group and timeline.